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SportsInsights.com Article - Introduction to
Sports Investing and Value
Successful
sports gamblers view the sports betting marketplace like a
business or investment opportunity. How do the "sharp
bettors" profit in the long run? How do they get their
edge? In this article, we look at how professional money
managers earn long-term excess returns and how we can apply
similar techniques to help us in our sports handicapping.
Some investors
seek value by being contrarian investors. Others are
momentum investors. Another strategy is to follow the lead
of "smart investors" such as successful fund managers
or famous investors like Warren Buffett. Below, we'll see
what similarities we can find in the sports investing
arena. The information
on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only.
Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or
local laws is prohibited.

Contrarian Investing and Value
Many of us have heard the phrase
"contrarian investing." What's the thinking
behind being a contrarian investor? If everyone hates a
stock (or other investment), that stock might be undervalued and
be a good long-term investment. Historically, buying
"value stocks" has been one of the best methods of
investing in the stock market.
Similarly, we can profit in the sports
marketplace by finding value and betting on undervalued
teams. Some handicappers follow sports closely and can
find value in various match-ups and games. Another method
is to use the "Betting Percentages"
available to members of SportsInsights.com. If a certain
match-up has more than 75% of the bets on one side, it often
means that the general Public is overvaluing that side.
As a result, there is often "value" on taking the
other side of that bet. This has proven to be a
profitable strategy when sports investing in the major US
sports.
Some sports investors note that this tool is
particularly useful for "big games" such as nationally
televised games, rivalries or other games that attract the
attention of the "general public."
For example, say that the
New England Patriots are playing the New York Jets and 85% of the bets are
coming in on the Patriots. This is often an indication that
the sports marketplace is overvaluing the Patriots (and
undervaluing the NY Jets). Historically, taking the
NY Jets and "Betting Against the Public" would be a
profitable play.
Momentum Investing
Some traders like to ride the "hot stocks" or
"follow the trends" in the financial markets.
Other traders find success by using "counter-trend"
trading systems. Similarly, many sports investors actively
follow the line movement and point spreads in various
sports. Some handicappers try to follow "steam
moves" and watch for material line moves. Others look
for value as the point spreads fluctuate in the sports
marketplace. You can follow live odds and view the
day's most profitable Steam Plays at
SportsInsights.com.
Smart Money: Invest with the Best
When news that Warren Buffett has taken a position in a company,
that stock often makes a big move that day. Investors want
to emulate the "stars" and often buy some of the same
stocks that top mutual funds and top hedge funds own. In
the sports investing world, there are "sharps"
or "smart money" players who are profitable over the
long-term. How can we "follow the smart
money?"
Using the Betting Percentages and Line Movement
data that is available at
SportsInsights.com, you can get an indication
of where the "sharps" are betting. If the
general public (based on Betting Percentage) is on one side of
the game, but the point spread moves in the opposite direction,
it is often an indicator that "big money" (and most
likely "smart money") is taking a position in the
direction of the line movement (and opposite to the
Public).
For instance, say New England plays Green
Bay in the Superbowl and the line opens at New England
-14.5. Say that 80% of the bets are on New England but the
line moves down from -14.5 to -13.5. Although 8 out of 10
bets are coming in on the Patriots, this might be an indication
that big money bets are coming in on the Packers. This
"smart money" indicator has proven to be a powerful
tool to sports investors who use our sports marketplace
information. Login to
SportsInsights.com
to view Smart Money plays.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com
Disclaimer We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will
continue to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any
serious academic research in the field of “market efficiencies”
recognizes that inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once
inefficiencies are discovered, it is only a matter of time
before the market corrects itself. We do not guarantee our data
is error-free. However, we’ve tried our best to make sure every
score and percentage is correct.
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