The 2011-12 Bowl Season begins Saturday when the New Mexico Bowl kicks off at 2 p.m. ET. Due to increased public attention, bowl games provide opportunities for contrarian bettors to find extra value when betting against the public.
Looking at all bowl games over the previous three seasons, 16 games saw the favored team receive 70% or more spread bets.
In these games, the underdog (team receiving 30% or fewer spread bets) went 11-5 against the spread (ATS), for a winning percentage of 68.8%.
The tables below show a season-by-season breakdown of these games.
2010-11 Bowl Season
Date | Teams | Spread % | Closing Line | Score | Win/Loss ATS |
12/22/10 | Utah | 28% | +15.5 | 3 | Loss |
Boise St | 72% | -15.5 | 26 | ||
12/29/10 | Arizona | 23% | +4.5 | 10 | Loss |
Oklahoma St | 77% | -4.5 | 36 | ||
12/30/10 | Army | 24% | +7 | 16 | Win |
SMU | 76% | -7 | 14 | ||
12/30/10 | Washington | 25% | +11.5 | 19 | Win |
Nebraska | 75% | -11.5 | 7 | ||
12/31/10 | Florida St | 28% | +2 | 26 | Win |
South Carolina | 72% | -2 | 17 | ||
1/9/11 | Boston College | 28% | +7.5 | 13 | Win |
Nevada | 72% | -7.5 | 20 |
2009-10 Bowl Season
Date | Teams | Spread % | Closing Line | Score | Win/Loss ATS |
12/20/09 | Mid Tenn St | 30% | +3.5 | 42 | Win |
So Mississippi | 70% | -3.5 | 32 | ||
12/26/09 | Ohio | 70% | -3 | 17 | Win |
Marshall | 30% | +3 | 21 |
2008-09 Bowl Season
Date | Teams | Spread % | Closing Line | Score | Win/Loss ATS |
12/21/08 | Troy | 75% | -4.5 | 27 | Win |
So Mississippi | 25% | +4.5 | 30 | ||
12/26/08 | Florida Atlantic | 26% | +7 | 24 | Win |
Central Michigan | 74% | -7 | 21 | ||
12/28/08 | No Illinois | 30% | +2.5 | 10 | Loss |
Louisiana Tech | 70% | -2.5 | 17 | ||
12/30/08 | Western Michigan | 30% | +2.5 | 14 | Loss |
Rice | 70% | -2.5 | 38 | ||
12/31/08 | Boston College | 74% | -5 | 14 | Win |
Vanderbilt | 26% | +5 | 16 | ||
1/1/2009 | Michigan St | 28% | +9 | 10 | Loss |
Georgia | 72% | -9 | 24 | ||
1/2/2009 | Utah | 27% | +9.5 | 31 | Win |
Alabama | 73% | -9.5 | 17 | ||
1/2/2009 | Mississippi | 30% | +3.5 | 47 | Win |
Texas Tech | 70% | -3.5 | 34 |
* Public Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ College Football Betting Trends.
** Pinnacles’ lines were used to determine ATS records.
There are currently 10 Bowl games that fit this system, so be sure to check your Live Odds Page often for real-time betting trends updates and College Football 70/30 Betting System opportunities.