NFL Marketwatch Week 19 2006-07
Sports Marketwatch – Early Moves Edition
NFL Week 19 – Playoff Edition
1/12/2007 11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio
SportsInsights.com
Welcome to this week’s edition of the Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all access pass with Sports Marketplace! Every Tuesday and Friday afternoon he speaks directly with the line managers at Pinnacle , 5Dimes.com, BetUs.com, and Oasis about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding.
Sports Marketwatch – NFL Week 19
NFL Regular Season
SportsInsights.com NFL Regular Season Games to Watch analysis finished strong on its “march to the bank,” going 2-0. For the regular season, that makes SportsInsights.comGames to Watch an impressive 31-18-1 = 63.3%. Not bad for a free weekly column. If you have enjoyed the insights this column proves, please be sure to visit SportsInsights.com and sign up for a membership. Your bankroll will thank you for it!
• 2006 Games to Watch = 31-18 = 63.3%
• 2005 Games to Watch = 33-25 = 56.9%
• Overall = 64-43 = 59.8%
NFL Wild Card Weekend
SportsInsights.com NFL Playoff Edition Games to Watch picked up where the Regular Season left off, going 1-0. Indy played inspired ball for 4 quarters, on way to a 23-8 rout of KC.
View last week’s column. *Source: SportsInsights.com
NFL Playoff Edition – Games to Watch (1-0)
The NFL Playoffs are a totally different animal than the NFL Regular season. The amount of “Public” square bets skyrockets. The culmination of this trend is the Super Bowl, the most wagered sporting event of the year. Everyone, and their mother, wagers on the Super Bowl.
For value-minded sports investors, this massive influx of “Public” money means opportunity. During the NFL Playoffs, odds makers heavily weigh Public opinion when deciding on a game’s betting line. They’ll shade a line 2-3 pts knowing that the Public will be heavily on one side. “Public Money” dwarfs the amount of “Sharp Money” buying back the shaded lines.
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Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears
We like this game because of the early Sharp Money on Chicago. CRIS opened at Chicago –8 and within minutes retreated to -9. The line has stabilized at –8.5/9 at most books. Seattle is by far the weakest team remaining in the playoffs. Chicago is a talented squad that has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Their offense will benefit the most from the extra week. Look for QB Rex Grossman to get it back on track as Chicago makes a run for the Super Bowl. We’re laying -8.5 while it’s still on the board and looking for Chicago’s D to shut down Seattle – and Chicago’s O to hammer it home.
Chicago Bears -8.5
Games to Watch – Playoff Edition (1-0)
Chicago Bears -8.5
It should be another exciting NFL Playoff weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.
I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
Daniel Fabrizio
President
SportsInsights.com