17
October
NFL Opening Line Report- Week 7
10/17/2011
In NFL
Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games:
| Team | Betting % | Open | Current | Notes |
| Bears | 54% | 1.5 | 1.0 | After being blown out by the upstart 49ers in Week 5, the Bucs rebounded to take down the Saints last week without LeGarrette Blount. The Bucs no doubt have a plethora of young talent but they remain inconsistent, which is not a good sign with the game being played overseas in London and the veteran Bears next in line. On the bright side, the value is certainly there due to the small spread, which becomes a virtual pick-em scenario for the public |
| Buccaneers | 46% | -1.5 | -1.0 | |
| Redskins | 33% | 3.0 | 3.0 | The public fell in love with the ‘Skins after their 3-1 start. However, after returning from the bye and falling to the Eagles 20-16 last week, Shanahan’s boys don’t seem so favorable anymore, especially with Cam Newton and the Panthers gaining steam with each passing week. |
| Panthers | 67% | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
| Seahawks | 45% | 3.0 | 3.0 | The ‘Hawks surprised a lot of people in Week 5 after upending the Giants 36-25 on the road before heading into their bye week. Conversely, the Browns battled the spirited Raiders hard last week before absorbing a 24-17 loss on the road. The public remains divided, with a slight edge going to Cleveland at home. |
| Browns | 55% | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
| Texans | 60% | 3.0 | 3.0 | After not allowing more than 14 points the first four games of the season, the usually stout Titans D gave up 38 in a Week 5 loss to the Steelers. However, they are favored by a field goal with the Texans coming to town, who are likely to be without star WR Andre Johnson again and also play their second consecutive road game after being manhandled by the Ravens last week in Baltimore. |
| Titans | 40% | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
| Falcons | 43% | 4.5 | 4.0 | Despite suffering their first loss of the season last week, the Lions remain a public favorite against the visiting Falcons. You can assume Jim Schwartz will have his players motivated and ready to go after they coughed up a late lead vs. the 49ers and then saw their head coach showed up by Jim Harbaugh during the post-game hand shake. |
| Lions | 57% | -4.5 | -4.0 | |
| Chiefs | 15% | 3.5 | 3.0 | After losing to Brady and the Pats in Week 4, the Raiders have won two in a row and continue to use the passing of Al Davis as a motivational tool. However, with QB Jason Campbell out for a while with a shoulder injury, the 85% taking Oakland must rely on journeyman Kyle Boller to lead them to victory, which is a scary scenario for most. |
| Raiders | 85% | -3.5 | -3.0 | |
| Steelers | 83% | -4.0 | -3.5 | The Steelers narrowly defeated the Jags last week at home, however the public continues to pound them against the Cards. With Pittsburgh possessing the #1 passing defense in the league, it could be a long day for Kevin Kolb and Larry Fitzgerald. |
| Cardinals | 17% | 4.0 | 3.5 | |
| Rams | 29% | 10.5 | 12.0 | The Rams have acquired WR Brandon Lloyd and reunited him with OC Josh McDaniels, which should help QB Sam Bradford. However, after suffering a bitter defeat in the final seconds against New England last week, the Cowboys seem poised to take out their frustration and show no mercy against the lowly Rams. |
| Cowboys | 71% | -10.5 | -12.0 | |
| Packers | 82% | -9.5 | -7.5 | The 1-5 Vikings appear to be in a state of total disarray. Not only were they embarrassed by the Bears on national television but it also appears Minnesota will kick the tires on Donovan McNabb and officially usher in the Christian Ponder era, a move that could give hope to a beleaguered fan base but also comes with its share of growing pains. If Ponder gets the start, the Packers D could have a field day with the rookie signal caller. |
| Vikings | 18% | 9.5 | 7.5 | |
| Colts | 34% | 14.0 | 14.0 | Despite an improved offense with QB Curtis Painter at the helm, the Colts remain one of just two winless teams in the NFL (Rams). It doesn’t get any easier with the always-dangerous Saints next in line, who should be fired up after turning the ball over four times in a 26-20 loss to the Bucs last week. |
| Saints | 66% | -14.0 | -14.0 | |
| Ravens | 66% | -8.5 | -7.5 | The 4-1 Ravens are flying high and look to keep it going on the road vs. Jacksonville. However, despite their 1-5 record, the Jags remain a competitive bunch with a surprisingly decent defense. In addition, rookie QB Blaine Gabbert seems to be progressing with each week but could see that trend come crashing down with Baltimore’s punishing D staring him in the face. |
| Jaguars | 34% | 8.5 | 7.5 | |
| Chargers | N/A | 1.5 | 1.5 | Las Vegas Hilton has the Jets as -1.5 favorites, however that line is likely to change depending on how the Jets look against the Dolphins on MNF. For those of you thinking of taking the Chargers on the road, the good news is that after the bye week, injured stars Antonio Gates, Ryan Mathews and Mike Tolbert have all returned to practice and look ready to go against Rex Ryan’s boys. |
| Jets | N/A | -1.5 | -1.5 | |
| Broncos | N/A | 3.0 | 3.0 | Las Vegas Hilton opened with the Dolphins as 3 point favorites. However, this is also likely to change depending on how the Fins peform on MNF against the Jets. Conversely, while Miami will be on a short week, the Broncos return from the bye week well-rested and Tim Tebow is likely to get his first start of the season, no doubt hell-bent on silencing his doubters and proving his critics wrong. |
| Dolphins | N/A | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from CRIS unless otherwise stated.
will
10/17/2011 at 9:51 pmbottom line is your laying juice fellas, stop laying juice and make your average play +150 and you may have a chance to be ahead of the books, in game wagering or money lines, laying any type of juice will grind you down period