NCAA Football Opening Line Report – 9/20/2010
This week’s NCAA games started opening just before 7:00 p.m. Sunday and continued through early Monday morning. We have taken a look at the opening lines, as well as the early market percentages from our betting trends data, and have found a few games with some interesting early movement. We have broken them down for you in today’s NCAA Football Opening Line Report.
Early Line Moves of Interest:
1. Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northwestern Wildcats
CRIS was the first to open this line at 6:52 p.m. at -10 on Northwestern Sunday, and has steadily dropped over night to -7. During that time our market percentages had the public split on this game, but as the bets pile up for this game Northwestern is gaining a slight edge. We have one early Steam Move on Central Michigan, which came in at 2:47 p.m. this afternoon.
Team | # Bets | Spread | Open | Current |
Central Michigan | 648 | 39% | 10 | 7 |
Northwestern | 61% | -10 | -7 |
2. USC Trojans vs. Washington State Cougars
USC opened at -24 Sunday night at 7:38 p.m. at Olympic. The line stayed pretty much at the open until noon today, when the line started to drop despite a slight public favorite in the USC Torjans. Now sitting at -21.5 with a split public the line seems to have settled down for now.
Team | # Bets | Spread | Open | Current |
USC | 252 | 54% | -24 | -21.5 |
Washington State | 46% | 24 | 21.5 |
3. Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
CRIS opened this line at -5.5 for the Golden Eagles at 5:52 p.m. on Sunday, and moved down to -5 three minutes later before bouncing back up to -5.5 seven minutes after that. The line dropped to -4.5 late Sunday night. Our market percentages have 70% of the public betting on spread bets taking the Golden Eagles based on a good amount of early bets. ABC (15-10, +3.64) triggered a Smart Money play today at 4:18 p.m.
Team | # Bets | Spread | Open | Current |
Southern Miss | 964 | 70% | -5.5 | -4.5 |
Louisiana Tech | 30% | 5.5 | 4.5 |
4. North Texas Mean Green vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
There has been some big line movement early on this game. BetFair was the first book to open it at -5.5 for Florida Atlantic at 6:29 p.m. Sunday, and with 72% of the public taking them in spread bets the line has moved to -8 since early this morning. This movement has triggered two of our system plays on this game, but no plays with positive units won as of yet.
Team | # Bets | Spread | Open | Current |
North Texas | 515 | 28% | 5.5 | 8 |
Florida Atlantic | 72% | -5.5 | -8 |
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