2015 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds
Each season the NFL awards the Comeback Player of the Year Award to an individual who has overcome adversity to achieve at the highest level. This adversity could include a serious injury, poor performance or personal matters, and has been presented every year since 1963.
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Last season, Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski rebounded from a torn ACL and MCL to record 82 receptions for 1,124 yards and 12 touchdowns while helping lead New England to their fourth Super Bowl victory. Gronkowski easily beat out Eagles WR Jeremy Maclin and Cowboys LB Rolando McClain, both of whom had impressive bounce-back seasons of their own.
What many readers may not realize is that a number of offshore sportsbooks offer prop bets involving the Comeback Player of the Year Award. Last season Gronk (+1000) had the fourth-best odds of winning this coveted award, with Robert Griffin III (+600) listed as the favorite.
Earlier last week, 5Dimes became the first major sportsbook to post odds for the 2015 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award and Vikings RB Adrian Peterson opened as the clear favorite.
Last year Peterson was indicted on child abuse charges and was subsequently placed on the NFL’s Exempt List, which caused the star running back to miss the final 15 games of the season. Considering that Peterson is currently the co-favorite to lead the league in rushing yards, it’s hardly a stretch to think he will contend for Comeback Player of the Year if he’s able to stay healthy.
The table below displays the current odds at 5Dimes and will be updated as new information becomes available.
Player | August 21 | August 14 | July 21 |
---|---|---|---|
Eric Berry | +500 | +750 | +2000 |
Adrian Peterson | +550 | +350 | +400 |
Sam Bradford | +1400 | +1100 | +1400 |
Carson Palmer | +1400 | +1200 | +1200 |
Marqise Lee | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
Jay Cutler | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Eli Manning | +2500 | +2000 | +2000 |
David Johnson | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Drew Brees | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Darren McFadden | +2500 | +1600 | +1600 |
CJ Spiller | +2500 | +1600 | +1600 |
Nick Foles | +3300 | +2500 | +2500 |
Victor Cruz | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Andre Ellington | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Navarro Bowman | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Jadeveon Clowney | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Robert Griffin III | +3300 | +1600 | +1600 |
Tyrann Mathieu | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Jordan Cameron | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Colin Kaepernick | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Mike Wallace | +4500 | +4500 | +6600 |
Kiko Alonso | +5000 | +3300 | +3300 |
Jerod Mayo | +5000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Brian Hoyer | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Brian Cushing | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Percy Harvin | +5000 | +3300 | +3300 |
Danny Trevathan | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Doug Martin | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Geno Smith | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Robert Mathis | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Andre Johnson | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Johnny Manziel | +6000 | +6000 | +6600 |
Jarred Allen | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
Jairus Byrd | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
LeSean McCoy | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
Matt Cassel | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
Micahel Crabtree | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
Brian Orakpo | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 |
Vontaze Burfict | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Darnell Dockett | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Dennis Pitta | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
EJ Manuel | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Geno Atkins | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Greg Jennings | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Josh McCown | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Michael Crabtree | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Tim Tebow | +12500 | +12500 | +20000 |
Charles Tillman | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Matt Schaub | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Matt Hasselbeck | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Brett Favre | +200000 | +200000 | +200000 |
Note: This article was originally published on July 21st and updated on August 21st.
Oddsmakers are fully justified in listing Adrian Peterson as the runaway favorite, but there is another interesting name on this list — Eagles quarterback Sam Bradford. Up to this point, the former number one overall pick has been an undeniable bust. Bradford has missed 31 games in his first five seasons, including the entire 2014 campaign. However, when Bradford has been healthy he’s produced at a high level despite a lack of surrounding talent.
The Rams offensive line has struggled over the past few years, and the team has never provided Bradford with anything resembling a number one receiver. Despite that, Bradford has recorded a solid 59:38 touchdown to interception ratio. An off-season trade sent Bradford to Philadelphia, where Chip Kelly’s high-scoring offense should help maximize Bradford’s production.
Last season Philadelphia recorded 4,356 passing yards which ranked 6th in football. Somehow the mediocre duo of Mark Sanchez and Nick Foles surpassed the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers, Matthew Stafford and Tony Romo. Chip Kelly runs an open offense where quarterbacks seemingly always have the ability to pick up cheap yards by checking down to the running backs. This passer friendly offense bodes extremely well for Bradford and, if he can stay healthy, could be a steal at +1,400.
Some notable moves include Adrian Peterson (+400 to +550), Tim Tebow (+20,000 to +12,500) and Mike Wallace (+6,600 to +4,500).
While all of these players saw their odds of winning the Comeback Player of the Year award improve slightly, one player’s movement was particularly noteworthy: Chiefs safety Eric Berry. The 26-year old was diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma back in December, yet eight months later Berry was cleared to resume football activities. The three-time Pro Bowl selection made an emotional return to the field for the Chiefs first preseason game against the Cardinals, and has seen his odds improve over the offseason from +2,000 to +500.
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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.
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