Updated 2016 NFL Win Totals
With the NFL preseason winding down, most bettors should have a good idea of where their team stands. If you haven’t done so already, it is probably the time to put some money down win total bets on a few teams you feel good (or bad) about.
BetOnline has been actively adjusting their NFL win totals, and there has been some interesting line movement over the past few weeks. Not included in the latest win totals are the four teams from the NFC East due to the Tony Romo injury.
Over the past three weeks, nine teams saw their win total move by a half win, including several of the best teams in the league. Green Bay and New England both moved from 10.5 to 11, with Arizona and Minnesota’s totals also increased by a half win. Meanwhile, Denver and Indianapolis both went down from 9.5 to 9.
Something else worth examining are the win totals that CG Technology posted back in February. Six teams have moved by at least one win compared to today’s BetOnline totals: Arizona (9.5 to 10.5), Chicago (6.5 to 7.5), Jacksonville (6 to 7.5), Minnesota (9 to 10), Oakland (7.5 to 8.5), and Tampa Bay (6.5 to 7.5). Note that all of these big moves have win totals going up, rather than down. Have bettors overvalued these trendy teams, leaving value on the under?
The Jaguars are the only team that saw their win total increase by 1.5 wins over the summer, which may surprise some. After winning just five games last year, the Jaguars added several solid players in free agency and the draft. They’ll also be getting back the third overall pick from the 2015 draft, Dante Fowler, who missed all of last season with a torn ACL. With their slew of talented, young offensive weapons, it makes sense that many have high (or at least mediocre) hopes for Jacksonville.
Some of the juice is still a bit crazy (Titans over 5.5 -185, Chargers over 7 -160, Jets under 8 -160), but that also provides a decent payout if you decide to go contrarian and take the other side.
| Team | Betonline (8/29) | Betonline (8/9) |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 10.5 (u -125) | 10 (o -160) |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7.5 (u -140) | 7.5 (u -140) |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 (o -145) | 8 (o -140) |
| Buffalo Bills | 8 (u -130) | 8 (o -125) |
| Carolina Panthers | 10.5 (u -120) | 10.5 (o -125) |
| Chicago Bears | 7.5 (u -140) | 7.5 (u -145) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 (u -120) | 9.5 (o -125) |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 (u -125) | 5 (u -125) |
| Dallas Cowboys | N/A | 9.5 (u -145) |
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 9.5 (u -160) |
| Detroit Lions | 7 (o -120) | 7.5 (u -140) |
| Green Bay Packers | 11 (u -130) | 10.5 (o -175) |
| Houston Texans | 8.5 (u -120) | 8.5 (o -140) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 (u -125) | 9.5 (u -160) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.5 (o -120) | 7.5 (o -135) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9.5 (o -130) | 9.5 (o -140) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 (u -150) | 7.5 (u -170) |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 (u -130) | 7 (o -130) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 10 (u -130) | 9.5 (o -150) |
| New England Patriots | 11 (u -130) | 10.5 (o -150) |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 (o -130) | 7 (u -120) |
| New York Giants | N/A | 8 (o -140) |
| New York Jets | 8 (u -160) | 8 (u -150) |
| Oakland Raiders | 8.5 (o -115) | 8.5 (o -135) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | N/A | 7 (u -150) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10.5 (u -130) | 10.5 (o -140) |
| San Diego Chargers | 7 (o -160) | 7 (o -155) |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5.5 (u -130) | 5.5 (u -130) |
| Seattle Seahawks | 10.5 (o -140) | 10.5 (o -145) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.5 (u -130) | 7 (o -125) |
| Tennessee Titans | 5.5 (o -185) | 5.5 (o -160) |
| Washington Redskins | N/A | 7.5 (o -125) |
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