07
November
NFL Opening Line Report- Week 10
11/07/2011
In NFL
Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games:
| Team | Betting % | Open | Current | Notes |
| Raiders | 53% | 7.0 | 6.5 | Lone Thursday night contest shines the national spotlight on these 4-4 California contenders, with the winner likely to assume the inside track on the AFC West divisional crown. Despite boasting a 3-1 record at home, Norv Turner’s bunch have lost three in a row. Meanwhile, although the Raiders have dropped back to back home games against the division rival Chiefs and Broncos, midseason addition Carson Palmer has made great strides during his short stay in Oakland. Although the sportsbooks have taken away a pivotal point from road dog Oakland, the betting public remains slightly in favor of the new-look Raiders finally meshing on the road and keeping it close at Qualcomm. |
| Chargers | 47% | -7.0 | -6.5 | |
| Steelers | 70% | -3.0 | -3.0 | Coming off a heart-breaking, last second loss to the hated Ravens on SNF, the 6-3 Steelers invade Paul Brown Stadium as three point favorites against the upstart Bengals, who have now won five games in a row. Nevertheless, the betting public is pounding Pittsburgh, with seven out of ten spread bets confident Big Ben and the Boys can pin a four-point loss or more on Marvin Lewis’ 6-2 club. |
| Bengals | 30% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Broncos | 54% | 4.0 | 3.0 | After taking a pounding in the media as a result of his poor performance in a 45-10 shellacking against Detroit two weeks ago, Tim Tebow rebounded to play his best game as a pro last week, compiling a 98.1 QB Rating while also rushing for 100+ yards in a 38-24 win over the Raiders in the black hole. As a result, the betting public is back on the Tebow bandwagon, with slightly more than half of all spread bets taking Denver to either win straight up or lose by two or less against the 4-4 Chiefs. |
| Chiefs | 46% | -4.0 | -3.0 | |
| Jaguars | 68% | -3.0 | -3.0 | With the Dolphins picking up their first victory last week, the 0-9 Colts are now the only winless team in the league and find themselves salivating over the possibility of bringing Andrew Luck into the fold. Despite giving up three points on the road, the betting public is steam rolling Jacksonville, with nearly seven out of ten spread bets picking Blaine Gabbert and the Jags to leave Lucas Oil Stadium with at least a four point victory. |
| Colts | 32% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Bills | 77% | 6.0 | 6.0 | Even though the Bills absorbed a 27-11 beatdown at home against the Jets last week, the public is not jumping off the Buffalo bandwagon just yet. Facing a 4-4 Dallas squad who has been maddeningly inconsistent this year, Fred Jackson and company are receiving nearly eight of ten spread bets, with the betting public convinced they can keep it within five points at Cowboys Stadium. |
| Cowboys | 23% | -6.0 | -6.0 | |
| Texans | 81% | -3.0 | -3.0 | The 6-3 Texans find themselves leading the AFC South, with the inside track on their first division title in team history. Add on the fact that star wideout Andre Johnson could return for the first time in over a month and the betting public is pounding Houston on the road, with more than eight out of ten spread bets confident Arian Foster’s crew can escape Raymond James Stadium with at least a four point victory. |
| Buccaneers | 19% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Titans | 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | Coming off a bye week, the 2-6 Panthers return to action to host the struggling Titans in one of the most lopsided bet games of the week. Despite having an unflattering record, Carolina has been competitive in every game this season and is easily one of the most exciting teams in the league with Cam Newton at the helm. Meanwhile, after starting out 3-1, the Titans have lost three of their last four. With both teams trending in different directions in addition to the small spread, more than eight out of ten spread wagers are taking the Panthers to win by at least four in front of their home crowd. |
| Panthers | 83% | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
| Redskins | 40% | 3.5 | 3.5 | Despite an ugly 1-7 overall record, the ‘Fins actually enter this game as 3.5 point favorites, which may speak more to the ineptitude of Washington than the tepid resurgence of Miami. With the ‘Skins caught in a four game losing streak, the betting public is slightly in favor of Miami covering at home, especially after they looked good in a 31-3 win over the Chiefs in KC last week. |
| Dolphins | 60% | -3.5 | -3.5 | |
| Saints | 55% | -1.0 | -1.5 | One of the marquee matchups of the week right here, with the 5-3 Falcons hosting the 6-3 Saints in an NFC South grudge match. With such a small spread resulting in a virtual pick-em scenario, the betting public is giving the edge to Drew Brees and the Saints to escape Hotlanta with at least a two point victory. |
| Falcons | 45% | 1.0 | 1.5 | |
| Rams | 60% | 3.0 | 3.0 | The 1-7 Rams had their hearts broken last week when Patrick Peterson returned a punt for 99 yards in OT to give the Cards an exhilarating sudden death victory. With the 3-5 Browns playing at home in front of the Dawg Pound, Cleveland enters as three point favorites. However, six out of ten spread bets are going with St. Louis to either win straight up or lose by less than two, especially after the listless Browns have failed to score more than 12 points in each of their last three games. |
| Browns | 40% | -3.0 | -3.0 | |
| Ravens | 78% | -7.5 | -6.5 | With their thrilling come-from-behind victory over the Steelers on the road last week, the 6-2 Ravens are now tied with the Bengals for first in the AFC North. With the sportsbooks taking a pivotal point away from the home dog ‘Hawks, the betting public is pounding the Ravens, with nearly eight out of ten spread bets confident Joe Flacco can lead Baltimore to a seven point win or more in the Pacific Northwest. |
| Seahawks | 22% | 7.5 | 6.5 | |
| Patriots | 71% | 0.0 | 1.5 | After opening as a pick-em, the sportsbooks have adjusted their lines to make the Jets a 1.5 point favorite at home. However, even though New England has lost two in a row and their defense continues to play like a sieve, Brady and Belichick are still getting plus points- which almost never happens. As a result, the betting public is pounding the Pats, with slightly more than seven out of ten spread bets confident the Pats can get back on track and either win straight up or lose by a single point. |
| Jets | 29% | 0.0 | -1.5 | |
| Giants | 83% | 3.5 | 3.5 | The 7-1 49ers are easily the story of the season thus far, with notable victories over powerhouses Cincy, Philly, TB and Detroit. However, coming off their huge road win over Brady and the Pats last week (without offensive stars Hakeem Nicks and Ahmad Bradshaw nonetheless), the betting public is pounding the 6-2 G-Men, with more than eight out of ten spread bets taking Eli and Co. to either win straight up or lose by three or less at Candlestick. |
| 49ers | 17% | -3.5 | -3.5 | |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from CRIS unless otherwise stated.
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