Marvin Bagley Makes Duke a Juggernaut
Every hoophead knows the name Marvin Bagley. He may not be a household name yet, but he took the first step in becoming one by reclassifying and committing to play for Duke.
The 6’11” power forward was originally set to play college ball in 2018-19 because he transferred high schools and was ineligible to play for a year. However, he was approved to switch back to what would have been his original class and play this season. And wouldn’t you know it, he chose Duke.
This decision obviously has two big implications. His addition to the 2018 NBA draft class makes an already stacked group even better. I won’t go into details about high school players that nobody even knows about yet, but it sounds like there are several prettay, prettay good players.
The second is that Duke is now expected to be good…really good. At Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas, Duke opened at 10/1 in April along with Kentucky and Louisville. On July 31st, Duke, Kentucky, and Michigan State were the co-favorites at 8/1. With Bagley set to be a Blue Devil, Duke is now 3/1! This translates into a 14% increase in implied probability.
| Team | October 30 (Westgate) | August 15 (Westgate) | July 31 (Westgate) | April 2 (Westgate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Blue Devils | 3/1 | 3/1 | 8/1 | 10/1 |
| MICHIGAN ST Spartans | 4/1 | 10/1 | 8/1 | 20/1 |
| KENTUCKY Wildcats | 7/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 10/1 |
| ARIZONA Wildcats | 10/1 | 12/1 | 10/1 | 15/1 |
| KANSAS Jayhawks | 12/1 | 12/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 |
| USC Trojans | 20/1 | 30/1 | 20/1 | 60/1 |
| VILLANOVA Wildcats | 20/1 | 30/1 | 25/1 | 12/1 |
| FLORIDA Gators | 20/1 | 30/1 | 30/1 | 20/1 |
| WICHITA ST Shockers | 25/1 | 30/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 |
| NORTH CAROLINA Tar Heels | 25/1 | 30/1 | 25/1 | 12/1 |
| LOUISVILLE Cardinals | 40/1 | 15/1 | 12/1 | 10/1 |
| TEXAS Longhorns | 40/1 | 30/1 | 25/1 | 300/1 |
| MISSOURI Tigers | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 300/1 |
| PURDUE Boilermakers | 40/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 | 60/1 |
| TEXAS A&M Aggies | 40/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| OREGON Ducks | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 60/1 |
| ALABAMA Crimson Tide | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 80/1 |
| UCLA Bruins | 60/1 | 25/1 | 40/1 | 25/1 |
| WEST VIRGINIA Mountaineers | 60/1 | 60/1 | 50/1 | 25/1 |
| XAVIER Musketeers | 60/1 | 60/1 | 60/1 | 80/1 |
| NOTRE DAME Fighting Irish | 60/1 | 60/1 | 60/1 | 80/1 |
| ST MARY'S Gaels | 60/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 | 40/1 |
| MINNESOTA Golden Gophers | 60/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| MICHIGAN Wolverines | 80/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 | 20/1 |
| GONZAGA Bulldogs | 80/1 | 60/1 | 40/1 | 12/1 |
| MIAMI FL Hurricanes | 80/1 | 60/1 | 60/1 | 50/1 |
| SETON HALL Pirates | 80/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 | 60/1 |
| NORTHWESTERN Wildcats | 80/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 80/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 300/1 |
| VIRGINIA Cavaliers | 100/1 | 60/1 | 60/1 | 30/1 |
| BAYLOR Bears | 100/1 | 80/1 | 60/1 | 50/1 |
| WISCONSIN Badgers | 100/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 |
| CINCINNATI Bearcats | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 |
| MARYLAND Terrapins | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| PROVIDENCE Friars | 100/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 |
| BUTLER Bulldogs | 200/1 | 60/1 | 40/1 | 25/1 |
| IOWA ST Cyclones | 200/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 |
| CREIGHTON Bluejays | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 |
| VANDERBILT Commodores | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 |
| UCONN Huskies | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| SYRACUSE Orange | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| ARKANSAS Razorbacks | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| NEVADA Wolfpack | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| AUBURN Tigers | 200/1 | 100/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| VIRGINIA TECH Hokies | 200/1 | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| RHODE ISLAND Rams | 200/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| OKLAHOMA Sooners | 300/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 40/1 |
| FLORIDA ST Seminoles | 300/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 | 40/1 |
| INDIANA Hoosiers | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 20/1 |
| SMU Mustangs | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 80/1 |
| ILLINOIS Fighting Illini | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| SOUTH CAROLINA Gamecocks | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| UTAH Utes | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 300/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 1000/1 |
| VCU Rams | 300/1 | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| MARQUETTE Golden Eagles | 300/1 | 200/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| SAN DIEGO ST Aztecs | 300/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 100/1 |
| GEORGIA Bulldogs | 300/1 | 300/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 |
| WAKE FOREST Demon Deacons | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| IOWA Hawkeyes | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| PENN ST Nittany Lions | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| BYU Cougars | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| ARIZONA ST Sun Devils | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| STANFORD Cardinal | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| TEXAS TECH Red Raiders | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| DAYTON Flyers | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| CLEMSON Tigers | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| ST JOHN'S Red Storm | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| OHIO ST Buckeyes | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| NEBRASKA Cornhuskers | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| OLE MISS Rebels | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| TENNESSEE Volunteers | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| MISSISSIPPI ST Bulldogs | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| KANSAS ST Wildcats | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| OKLAHOMA ST Cowboys | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| HOUSTON Cougars | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| CENTRAL FLORIDA Golden Knights | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| DAVIDSON Wildcats | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| GEORGIA TECH Yellow Jackets | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| NC STATE Wolfpack | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| MIDDLE TENN ST Blue Raiders | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| COLORADO ST Rams | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| BOISE ST Broncos | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| FRESNO ST Bulldogs | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| OREGON ST Beavers | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| ST BONAVENTURE Bonnies | 500/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| CHARLESTON Cougars | 500/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| OAKLAND Golden Grizzlies | 500/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| BELMONT Bruins | 500/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| BUFFALO Bulls | 500/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| CALIFORNIA Golden Bears | 1000/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| COLORADO Buffaloes | 1000/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| ILLINOIS ST Redbirds | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
| MEMPHIS Tigers | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| RICHMOND Spiders | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| La Salle EXPLORERS | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| LSU Tigers | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| GEORGETOWN Hoyas | 1000/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 |
| WYOMING Cowboys | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| VERMONT Catamounts | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| ST LOUIS Billikens | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| OLD DOMINION Monarchs | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| PRINCETON Tigers | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| HARVARD Crimson | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| YALE Bulldogs | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| TEXAS ARLINGTON Mavericks | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| GEORGIA ST Panthers | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| VALPARAISO Crusaders | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| NORTHERN IOWA Panthers | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| NEW MEXICO ST Aggies | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| GRAND CANYON Antelopes | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| FLORIDA GULF COAST Eagles | 1000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 |
| LOUISIANA TECH Bulldogs | 1000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 |
| GEORGE WASHINGTON Colonials | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| GEORGE MASON Patriots | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| NC WILMINGTON Seahawks | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| PITTSBURGH Panthers | 2000/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 | 500/1 |
| ARKANSAS ST Red Wolves | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| AKRON Zips | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| OHIO Bobcats | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| NEW MEXICO Lobos | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| UTAH ST Aggies | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| WASHINGTON ST Cougars | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| EAST TENNESSEE ST Buccaneers | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| CHATTANOOGA Mocs | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| BOSTON COLLEGE Eagles | 2000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 1000/1 |
| NC CENTRAL Eagles | 2000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 2000/1 |
| LA LAFAYETTE Ragin' Cajuns | 2000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 2000/1 |
| WESTERN KENTUCKY Hilltoppers | 2000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 1000/1 |
| MONMOUTH Hawks | 3000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 |
| TROY Trojans | 3000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 | 2000/1 |
| PENNSYLVANIA Quakers | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 2000/1 |
| BUCKNELL Bison | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 2000/1 |
| WASHINGTON Huskies | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 3000/1 | 2000/1 |
| UTEP Miners | 3000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| MT ST MARYS Mountaineers | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| SAN FRANCISCO Dons | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| WRIGHT ST Raiders | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| JACKSONVILLE ST Gamecocks | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| NC GREENSBORO Spartans | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| SOUTH DAKOTA Coyotes | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| NORTH DAKOTA ST Bison | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| IPFW Mastodons | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| SOUTH DAKOTA ST Jackrabbits | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| IUPUI Jaguars | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| CS BAKERSFIELD Roadrunners | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| TEXAS ST Bobcats | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| COASTAL CAROLINA Chanticleers | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| ALBANY Great Danes | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 | 5000/1 |
| FIELD ( All Others ) | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 | 300/1 |
Before the season started last year, Duke was +350 and if you forgot, they had pretty high expectations. In fact, they were 20/1 to have an undefeated regular season and 40/1 to be an undefeated national champion — a feat that hasn’t occurred since the 1976 Hoosiers went 32-0. There aren’t any undefeated props yet for this season, but I would imagine there will be.
Follow us on Twitter @SportsInsights for more updates as well as props, new blog posts, breaking news, and more.
Nathan
08/30/2017 at 1:26 amThis is a test only