27
May
2012 Stanley Cup Preview – LA Kings vs. NJ Devils
05/27/2012
In NHL
The 2012 NHL Stanley Cup Final is set to begin on Wednesday, May 30 as the New Jersey Devils will host the Los Angeles Kings in Game 1. The series price via Sportsbook.com currently has the Kings -150/Devils +130 even though New Jersey will have home-ice advantage This is primarily because the Kings have been impressive all postseason in knocking off Vancouver in 5, St. Louis in 4, and Phoenix in 5.
The current line for Game 1 via Pinnacle has the Kings as a slight favorite of -121 after opening at -115. The tables below show recent trends and betting systems using our new Bet Labs product:
*All Units Won/Lost data is derived from Pinnacle’s Opening and Closing Lines
| W-L | Win % | Units Won/Lost | ROI | |
| Devils in 2011-12 including Playoffs | 60-40 | 60.0% | +20.37 units | 20.4% |
| Devils in 2011-12 including Playoffs as Underdog | 30-24 | 55.6% | +13.20 units | 24.4% |
| W-L | Win % | Units Won/Lost | ROI | |
| Kings in 2011-12 including Playoffs | 52-44 | 54.2% | +2.91 units | 3.0% |
| Kings in 2011-12 including Playoffs as Favorites | 37-31 | 54.4% | -3.29 units | -4.8% |
| W-L | Win % | Units Won/Lost | ROI | |
| Road Favorites in Playoffs since 2007 | 61-31 | 66.3% | +15.14 units | 16.5% |
| Road Favorites in Playoffs since 2011 | 13-5 | 72.2% | +6.01 units | 33.4% |
| W-L | Win % | Units Won/Lost | ROI | |
| Road Underdogs in Playoffs since 2007 receiving 30% or fewer of ML bets |
24-30 | 44.4% | +15.76 units | 29.2% |
| Road Underdogs in Playoffs since 2011 receiving 30% or fewer of ML bets |
5-4 | 55.6% | +4.34 units | 48.2% |
| W-L | Win % | Units Won/Lost | ROI | |
| Teams in Playoffs since 2007 receiving 30% or fewer of ML bets |
38-50 | 43.2% | +11.06 units | 12.6% |
| Teams in Playoffs since 2011 receiving 30% or fewer of ML bets |
7-6 | 53.8% | +4.58 units | 35.2% |
- Betting every Devils game this year would net a profit of +20.37 units
- The Kings have earned a profit as an underdog this year but are down -3.19 units as the favorite
- Unlike the regular season, Road Favorites provide good value in the Playoffs, up over 15 units since 2007
- Road Dogs getting 30% or fewer of bets are up over 15 units since 2007
- All Teams in the Playoffs getting 30% or fewer of bets are up over 11 units since 2007
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