2016 NFL Betting: Who Will Lead the League in Passing Yards?
The beginning of a new NFL season is right around the corner and just in time for the start of training camp Bet365 released several player prop bets. One of many prop bets the sportsbook released involves an especially important position in football: the quarterback. These signal callers have an immense impact on the game, and as mentioned in an earlier piece, some of the elite quarterbacks are worth are at least 6-7 points to the spread.
Last year Drew Brees led the league in passing yards, which marked the fourth time in five years that he accomplished this feat. This season Brees (+500) opens as the favorite, but not by much. Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is right on his heels at +550.
Below are the current odds as they appear on Bet365.
| Player | Bet365 (8/29) | Bet365 (7/21) |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Brees | +500 | +500 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | +550 | +550 |
| Matt Ryan | +850 | +850 |
| Philip Rivers | +1000 | +700 |
| Andrew Luck | +1000 | +1600 |
| Eli Manning | +1000 | +1000 |
| Carson Palmer | +1200 | +1200 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1200 | +1200 |
| Blake Bortles | +2200 | +2800 |
| Kirk Cousins | +2500 | +1600 |
| Tom Brady | +2500 | +2000 |
| Matthew Stafford | +2800 | +2000 |
| Joe Flacco | +3300 | +2500 |
| Derek Carr | +3300 | +3300 |
| Ryan Tannehill | +3300 | +3300 |
| Russell Wilson | +3300 | +6600 |
| Brock Osweiler | +5000 | +4000 |
| Andy Dalton | +6600 | +6600 |
| Cam Newton | +6600 | +6600 |
| Jameis Winston | +6600 | +6600 |
| Marcus Mariota | +8000 | +8000 |
| Jay Cutler | +8000 | +8000 |
| Alex Smith | +10000 | +10000 |
| Robert Griffin III | +12500 | +12500 |
| Teddy Bridgewater | +12500 | +12500 |
| Tyrod Taylor | +15000 | +15000 |
| Sam Bradford | +15000 | +17500 |
| Jared Goff | +20000 | +20000 |
| Mark Sanchez | +20000 | +20000 |
| Colin Kaepernick | +20000 | +20000 |
| Blaine Gabbert | +20000 | +20000 |
| Geno Smith | +20000 | +20000 |
| Carson Wentz | +20000 | +20000 |
| Josh McCown | +25000 | +25000 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | +25000 | +25000 |
| Paxton Lynch | +30000 | +30000 |
| Tony Romo | N/A | +3300 |
One player who may be a dark horse in this race is Philip Rivers of the San Diego Chargers. He trailed Brees by less than a hundred passing yards and that was with his star receiver Keenan Allen missing half the season due to a kidney injury. In addition, Rivers was without another one of his favorite targets, tight end Antonio Gates, who missed four games due to a suspension. With a replenished receiving core, Rivers might be armed to dethrone Brees as the league’s passing leader.
Another player of note is New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (+2000), who will miss the first four games of the regular season as a result of Deflategate. Despite missing a quarter of the season, he still has the 10th best odds to lead the league in passing.
Who do you think will lead the league in passing? Will Brees lead the NFL in passing yards yet again? Please leave your comments in the section below.
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