2016 NFL Season: Week 16 Betting Recap

2016 NFL Season: Week 16 Betting Recap

Every Tuesday morning, the team at Sports Insights will examine some of the most interesting trends and results from the past week’s NFL action. We’ll also look at our betting systems, prop bets, futures movement, bad beats and more.

• Based on the closing line at Pinnacle, favorites went 9-7 ATS in Week 16 and now are 118-116-6 ATS this season.
• Home teams also went 9-7 ATS, but are only 113-117-6 ATS this season.
• It was a tough week for visiting underdogs, who went 5-7 ATS.
• Division ‘dogs went 5-7 ATS, however, this season they are 42-37-1 ATS (+3.30 units).

AFC playoff teams and their preseason odds to make it:
NE -260
PIT -240
KC -130
HOU +110
OAK +130
MIA +240

— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) December 26, 2016

• Teams that received over 60% of spread bets went 5-4 ATS. This season, teams with that level of support are 70-51-4 ATS (+16.58 u).
• The Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans received the highest level of support in Week 16. 79% of spread bets were on the Packers (closed as 6-point favorites) and Titans (closed as 4-point favorites). Only Green Bay covered the spread.
• Teams that received less than half of spread money went 10-6 ATS (+3.33 u).
• After going 3-1 ATS, NFC East teams are a combined 35-24-1 ATS (+9.32 u), which is the best ATS record in the league.

Odds to make #NFL playoffs
(5Dimes)

Packers -320
Lions -310
Redskins -140

— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) December 27, 2016

• When the line got at least a half-point better (i.e. moving from -3 to -2.5), teams went 9-4 ATS.
• Favorites went 11-5 straight up in Week 16, extending their record to 149-89 (62.6%) on the year.
• In Week 16, the biggest moneyline upset was the Arizona Cardinals defeating the Seattle Seahawks 34-31 at CenturyLink Field. The Cardinals (+330) received only 29% of moneyline bets.
• Overs went 12-3-1 in Week 16. Taking every over has gone 125-113 this season.

Odds to win AFC via @5Dimes #Patriots -135#Steelers +450#Chiefs +500#Raiders +1450#Texans +2500#Dolphins +2600

— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) December 27, 2016

• In Week 16, the Steelers, Texans, and Falcons locked up their respective divisions. Heading into the final week there are two divisions still up for grabs; Oakland (-190) is the favorite to win the AFC West and the Packers are the favorites (-175) to win the NFC North.
• The Cleveland Browns avoided a winless season after defeating the San Diego Chargers 20-17. Last week, the Browns were -190 at BetOnline to finish winless.
• After Derek Carr’s season-ending injury, Oakland’s Super Bowl 51 odds have dropped from +1200 to +2500 at Westgate. Meanwhile, Kansas City and Atlanta both moved from +1600 to +1000 following their Week 16 wins.

Make sure to bookmark our free NFL odds page for the latest lines, public betting trends, futures and more.

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