2016 NFL Week 10 Opening Line Report
The World Series is over. Thanksgiving is just a couple of weeks away. We are heading into the time of year when football really matters.
There are several divisions with no clear cut favorite. A handful of contenders from last year are struggling to stay afloat, while some early-season surprises are about to show us if they are the real deal or not.
Week 10 is headlined by Sunday night’s Super Bowl 49 rematch between the Seahawks and Patriots. Russell Wilson hasn’t been fully healthy this season and Seattle is also dealing with a number of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked excellent and are the current Super Bowl favorites by a mile. The lookahead line from CG Technology had the Patriots favored by less than a field goal back in April, but they are currently favored by more than a touchdown.
Another big game is between the Cowboys and Steelers. As of Monday afternoon, we are tracking twice as many bets on this game than on any other Sunday game. Ben Roethlisberger looked like he came back too soon in yesterday’s game against the Ravens, so any news concerning his health throughout the week could influence that line. The Cowboys, who are usually a pretty publicly bet team, have actually been really impressive. With 80% of spread bets, it didn’t take long for Dallas to be bet down from +3 to +2.5 and it wouldn’t shock me if they are favorites by the end of the week.
The Cardinals (-13) are the biggest favorites of the week at home against the 49ers. San Francisco has been the worst team this season against the spread, going just 1-7 so far. The best teams ATS this year have been the Patriots and Cowboys at 7-1.
One quarterback situation that is up in the air regards the Jets and a certain Harvard-educated bearded fellow. Ryan Fitzpatrick sprained his MCL yesterday against the Dolphins and may not be able to suit up this weekend against the Rams. The Jets are currently 2.5-point favorites, but we may see that line change if Bryce Petty is announced as the starter.
Here is the full game list. Odds from Bookmaker are used for the opening and current lines unless otherwise noted. The lookahead lines come from CG Technology.
| Matchup | Current Line | Opening Line | Lookahead Line (4/21) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ BAL | BAL -10 | BAL -9.5 | BAL -8.5 |
| HOU @ JAX | HOU -1.5 | HOU -1.5 | HOU -1 |
| KC @ CAR | CAR -3 | CAR -3 | CAR -4.5 |
| DEN @ NO | NO -1.5 | NO -1.5 | DEN -1 |
| LA @ NYJ | NYJ -2.5 | NYJ -3 | NYJ -4 |
| ATL @ PHI | PHI -1.5 | PHI -1.5 | PHI -2.5 |
| MIN @ WAS | WAS -2.5 | WAS -2.5 | MIN -1.5 |
| GB @ TEN | GB -2.5 | GB -3 | GB -7.5 |
| CHI @ TB* | TB -1.5 | TB -1.5 | TB -2 |
| MIA @ SD | SD -3.5 | SD -4 | SD -1 |
| SF @ ARI | ARI -13 | ARI -13 | ARI -10.5 |
| DAL @ PIT | PIT -2.5 | PIT -3 | PIT -6 |
| SEA @ NE* | NE -7.5 | NE -7 | NE -2 |
| CIN @ NYG | NYG -2 | NYG -2.5 | CIN -2 |
* Originally off the board at Bookmaker, consensus line used
Bye Week: Buffalo, Detroit, Indianapolis, Oakland
Coming Off Bye: Arizona, Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, New England, Washington
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