2017-18 College Football Week 2 Betting Recap
Week 2 brought us big wins by Oklahoma (at Ohio State), Clemson (vs. Auburn), USC (vs. Stanford), and Georgia (at Notre Dame). There were a number of cancelled games due to the hurricanes in the southeast: Miami-FL/Arkansas State, Florida/No Colorado, FSU/UL Monroe, UCF/Memphis, and USF/UConn. As a reminder, if you had a win total bet on any of those teams this season, they’ll be refunded since teams must play their full regular season schedule.
Week 2 Betting Trends:
Road 47-21 ATS, +23.21 units
Dogs 43-27 ATS, +13.13 units
Teams getting <30% of bets went just 9-13 ATS. However, when looking at the most highly bet games, those teams went 4-3 ATS.
Unders went 46-25
The Big-12 went 7-2 ATS, best conference of the week. The SEC went a dismal 2-9 ATS in non-conference games this week.
Big underdogs were successful yet again, with teams closing +30 or higher going 16-5 ATS.
Ranked teams went just 5-7 ATS against unranked teams.
Biggest Moneyline Upsets:
UTSA +367 at Baylor
Oklahoma +282 at Ohio St
NMSU +258 at New Mexico
Teams closing +500 or higher on the moneyline went 0-23 straight up. Lots of underdogs covered, but no huge upsets.
Biggest spread dogs:
Savannah St +51 (covered and lost 54-7)
Alabama A&M +50 (covered and lost 42-0)
Ark Pine Bluff +48.5 (failed to cover by 0.5 points and lost 52-3)
Teams closing +45 or higher have gone 6-2 ATS this year and 69-46 ATS since 2007.
More Betting Nuggets:
Teams down 42+ points at halftime went 2-0 ATS on the 2nd half line (East Carolina and Savannah State) and are now an incredible 86-47 ATS since 2005.
Michigan beat Cincinnati 34-16. The total opened 49.5 and closed 51 at Bookmaker, falling right in between.
Mizzou/South Carolina total closed 71, tied for the 7th-highest SEC total that we’ve tracked since 2005. Highest was 77.5 (Miss/Tex A&M in 2013). The game easily went under with South Carolina winning 31-13.
Wake Forest beat BC 34-10, going over the opening total (43.5) and under the closing total (46).
Louisville (opened -8.5 and closed -11.5) covered on late TD at UNC to win by 12.
Texas A&M (-37, 81% of bets) beat Nicholls State 24-14 but failed to cover for the 12th straight time after a straight up loss. Kevin Sumlin was already on the hot seat before the year, listed at +140 to be first SEC head coach fired this season.
3rd and 93? Yep.
3rd & 93 upcoming…#HailState pic.twitter.com/ysNOd1QpmM
— MSU Football ? (@HailStateFB) September 10, 2017
Best catch of the week? Probably.
Georgia's Terry Godwin stunning TD catch (initially ruled incomplete but then overturned) pic.twitter.com/MW0FNWZjvB
— Norah O. AlOmair (@NorahAlOmair) September 10, 2017
One bettor in Vegas had a pretty decent Saturday:
$165, 8-teamer hit for $29,000 Saturday @CGTechnology_:
Texas -26.5
UGA +4
ODU -3.5
Tulane +9.5
UTSA +13.5
Toledo -11
SMU -13.5
USC -6.5— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) September 10, 2017
Heisman Watch:
Louisville QB Lamar Jackson- 25 for 39, 393 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 132 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs
UCLA QB Josh Rosen- 22 for 25, 329 passing yards, 5 passing TDs
USC QB Sam Darnold- 21 for 26, 316 passing yards, 4 passing TDs
Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield- 27 for 35, 386 passing yards, 3 passing TDs
Major injuries from Week 2:
All questionable for next week
Jonathan Banks, Tulane
Brett Rypien, Boise State
Luke Falk, Washington State
Ryan Metz, UTEP
Kalen Ballage, Arizona State
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