03
October
NFL Opening Line Report – Week 5
10/03/2011
In NFL
Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games:
| Team | Betting % | Open | Current | Notes |
| Cardinals | 71% | 3 | 3 | Despite being 0-4, the Vikings are favored by a field goal over Arizona. Early betting shows no faith in Minnesota after losing to the Chiefs on Sunday. |
| Vikings | 29% | -3 | -3 | |
| Eagles | 52% | -3 | -3 | Would you have predicted the Eagles would only be favored by 3 over the Bills? Early betting is split as people are trying to figure out whether these teams’ records reflect how good they actually are. |
| Bills | 48% | 3 | 3 | |
| Raiders | N/A | 7 | 7 | These lines are currently only available at a few books as others are waiting to hear the status of Andre Johnson before posting a line. |
| Texans | N/A | -7 | -7 | |
| Saints | 79% | -6.5 | -5.5 | Some early reverse line-movement here as the line has moved towards the home dog. Cam Newton has become infamous for getting the “back door cover” but the Saints are a favorite of the betting public. |
| Panthers | 21% | 6.5 | 5.5 | |
| Bengals | 85% | 2.5 | 2.5 | The Bengals were able to end the Bills’ winning streak and early betting will take the points against the Jaguars. A very low total (36) for this game as two rookie quarterbacks go head-to-head. |
| Jaguars | 15% | -2.5 | -2.5 | |
| Titans | N/A | N/A | N/A | No line yet for this AFC matchup as we await to hear the medical status of Ben Roethlisberger. |
| Steelers | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
| Seahawks | 21% | 10 | 10 | The Giants are heavy favorites as the Seahawks have a reputation for playing poorly on the road. So far, the public doesn’t mind laying double digit points with the favorite. |
| Giants | 79% | -10 | -10 | |
| Jets | 58% | 8 | 9 | The Patriots lead the league in offense and are favored by more than a touchdown against their division rival. The betting is fairly split as some bettors may remember the upset the Jets pulled over New England last season. |
| Patriots | 42% | -8 | -9 | |
| Chargers | 86% | -6 | -4.5 | Another good example of reverse line movement as the public is jumping all over the Chargers, but the line has already moved 1.5 points towards the Broncos as the home dog. |
| Broncos | 14% | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Packers | 76% | -4 | -4 | The books expect a shootout (53.5 total) and the public is likely to stay on the Packers as they continue to score at will. The Falcons impressive record at home the last few seasons may cause some bettors to hesitate taking the favorite. |
| Falcons | 24% | 4 | 4 | |
| Bears | 32% | 6 | 6 | The Lions have quickly become the betting public’s darling team. Especially after the comeback against Dallas that turned a loss into a win. Expect the betting percentage to rise as more bets come in throughout the week. |
| Lions | 68% | -6 | -6 | |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from CRIS
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