24
October
NFL Opening Line Report- Week 8
10/24/2011
In NFL
Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games:
| Team | Betting % | Open | Current | Notes |
| Colts | 29% | 9.0 | 9.5 | The Manning-less Colts hit an all time low Sunday night when they were absolutely demolished by the Saints 62-7 on national television. Meanwhile, after a 3-1 start the Titans have dropped two in a row by a combined score of 79-24. Regardless, 7 out of 10 bets expect Tennessee to bounce back at home and be the next team in line to embarrass Indianapolis by double digits. |
| Titans | 71% | -9.0 | -9.5 | |
| Vikings | 40% | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2011 may very well go down as the year of the rookie QB, with this matchup as its Super Bowl. Cam Newton took another step in the right direction last week, picking up his second career win. However, the big surprise was how well Christian Ponder played against the vaunted Packers D. With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take away a big point from the visiting Vikings, six out of 10 spread wagers are banking on Newton to lead Carolina to a four point or more victory at home. |
| Panthers | 60% | -4.0 | -3.0 | |
| Dolphins | 17% | 10.0 | 9.5 | Leading 15-0 late in the 4th quarter, Miami looked like they had finally secured their first win of the year- until Tim Tebow stormed back to pen yet another chapter in his emerging saga. With the Giants coming off a bye week and playing at home, more than 8 out of 10 bets are confident that the well-rested G-Men will prolong the Dolphins’ misery and win by double digits. |
| Giants | 83% | -10.0 | -9.5 | |
| Redskins | 14% | 4.0 | 5.0 | After starting off the year strong, the Redskins have lost three out of four, switched QBs and lost offensive weapons Tim Hightower and Santana Moss to injury. It doesn’t get any easier as Shanahan’s boys travel to Buffalo to take on the 4-2 Bills. With Fred Jackson and company coming off a bye week, the public is hammering Buffalo in one of the most lopsided games of the week, even as the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to add an additional point to the visiting ‘Skins. |
| Bills | 86% | -4.0 | -5.0 | |
| Patriots | 82% | -2.5 | -3.0 | This AFC showdown between long-time rivals is already the most heavily bet game of the week. And while it’s true that the Steelers have rattled off three wins in a row, the Pats are coming off a big win over the Cowboys and are well-rested after a much needed bye week. It’s very rare the Pats are involved in such a small spread and, as a result, the public is hammering New England on the road to win by at least four points. |
| Steelers | 18% | 2.5 | 3.0 | |
| Browns | 13% | 8.5 | 9.0 | Coming off the bye week, Jim Harbaugh has the 49ers sitting pretty at 5-1, with notable wins over Philly, Tampa and, most recently, Detroit. Conversely, despite their 3-3 record, the Browns have had one of the easiest schedules in the league thus far- with wins over cellar-dwelling Indy, Miami and Seattle. As a result, the public is heavy on another big 49ers win, with nearly 9 out of 10 bets expecting San Fran to win by double-digits at Candlestick. |
| 49ers | 87% | -8.5 | -9.0 | |
| Cincinnati | 72% | -2.0 | -2.5 | Andy Dalton and the Bengals’ stifling defense have led Cincy to a surprising 4-2 record. However, Marvin Lewis’ crew will be without suspended RB Cedric Benson against one of the better run defenses in the league. Regardless, more than 7 out of 10 bets are predicting Cincy to win by at least a field goal on the road, especially after the Charlie Whitehurst-led ‘Hawks looked offensively lost in a 6-3 loss to the Browns last week. |
| Seattle | 28% | 2.0 | 2.5 | |
| Cowboys | 61% | 3.0 | 3.5 | For a team laden with big name stars and Super Bowl aspirations, the 2-4 Eagles face a virtual must-win here against NFC East rival Dallas. However, after a series of disheartening losses, the public seems to have jumped off the “Dream Team” bandwagon. More than six out of ten bets are taking the points and banking on the ‘Boys to either win or keep it close, especially after their impressive 43-7 blowout of St. Louis last week. |
| Eagles | 39% | -3.0 | -3.5 | |
| San Diego | 76% | -3.5 | -3.5 | KC shocked the betting world last week with their 28-0 dismantling of Oakland on the road. Remarkably, the Chiefs have now won three in a row and a win over SD on MNF would pull KC into a tie for first place in the AFC West. However, more than three out of four bets refuse to drink the kool-aid and expect the Chargers to take down KC by at least four points. |
| Kansas City | 24% | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| Jaguars | N/A | N/A | N/A | With the Jaguars hosting the Ravens on MNF tonight, the sportsbooks have yet to release their lines for this AFC South showdown. The Texans will no doubt be favored at home, however the question remains, by how much? |
| Texans | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
| Cardinals | N/A | N/A | N/A | Same scenario here, with the sportsbooks holding their lines until after the Ravens play the Jaguars on MNF. |
| Ravens | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
| Lions | N/A | N/A | N/A | With QB Matthew Stafford injuring his ankle last week and his status uncertain for Sunday, the sportsbooks have yet to release their lines for this matchup. |
| Broncos | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
| Saints | N/A | N/A | N/A | Much like the situation with Stafford, the sportsbooks have yet to release their lines for this game as well because it remains uncertain whether or not QB Sam Bradford (ankle) will play. |
| Rams | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from CRIS unless otherwise stated.
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