31
December
Weekend Sports Update
12/31/2011
Happy New Year!
There is one featured College Football Bowl game on New Year’s eve:
- The Virginia-Auburn game has fairly lopsided-betting action, with about two-thirds (65%) of the bets taking the slightly-favored Auburn team. This has pushed the line up from the opener of Virginia +1 up to the key number of Virginia +3. Sports Insights Members can log-in to see if this game has triggered a play from one of Sports Insights winning betting strategies.
In the NFL on New Year’s Day, the Sports Insights team of analysts has circled the following games:
- The St. Louis – San Francisco game is currently falling into our 80/20 NFL rule that has yielded value over the years (and was also highlighted in our blog). In addition, this match-up is our “Game to Watch” in Sports Insights’ popular NFL Marketwatch column, that has produced a 69% winning percentage this year, and many years of profitable NFL selections.
- The big NFC-East game between Dallas and the New York Giants is currently the heaviest-bet game of the weekend. The public is leaning towards the Giants at home (67% of bets on Giants), and this has pushed the point spread from a slight favorite to Giants -3 -120 at some books. Some handicappers will like the point spread line value (on Dallas), but others may like the betting trend of “home team bias” (on NYG) late in the NFL season.
- Another game of interest is the Pittsburgh – Cleveland game, which is showing lopsided-betting action on the Steelers (79%), but smart money on Cleveland, pushing the line down from the opener of Pittsburgh -7 down to -6.5, with Big Ben iffy at QB for the Steelers.
Cheers to a successful year of sports investing in 2012!
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