Will Roger Federer Win His 3rd Major of the Year?
Roger Federer has turned 2017 into 2007 again, winning both the Australian Open and Wimbledon and looking for this third major of the season at the US Open (and 20th of his career). With usual stars Novak Djokovic, Stan Wawrinka and Milos Raonic not playing, Federer is the clear +150 favorite with Rafa Nadal next at +275.
Here’s a look at the current odds at 5Dimes to win the Men’s US Open:
| Player | August 21 Odds |
|---|---|
| Roger Federer | +150 |
| Rafael Nadal | +275 |
| Alexander Zverev | +800 |
| Andy Murray | +900 |
| Nick Kyrgios | +1400 |
| Marin Cilic | +1600 |
| Juan Martin del Potro | +2000 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | +2000 |
| Dominic Thiem | +2500 |
| John Isner | +6600 |
| Jo-Wilfried Tsonga | +8000 |
| Tomas Berdych | +8000 |
| Sam Querrey | +10000 |
| Gael Monfils | +10000 |
| Kevin Anderson | +10000 |
| Lucas Pouille | +12500 |
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | +15000 |
| David Goffin | +20000 |
| Jack Sock | +20000 |
| Gilles Simon | +25000 |
| Gilles Muller | +25000 |
| Richard Gasquet | +25000 |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | +25000 |
| Feliciano Lopez | +30000 |
| David Ferrer | +30000 |
| Bernard Tomic | +30000 |
| Ivo Karlovic | +30000 |
| Daniel Evans | +30000 |
| Kyle Edmund | +30000 |
| Karen Khachanov | +30000 |
| Steve Johnson | +30000 |
| Mischa Zverev | +40000 |
| Philipp Kohlschreiber | +50000 |
| Fabio Fognini | +50000 |
| Pablo Cuevas | +50000 |
| Borna Coric | +50000 |
| Andrey Rublev | +50000 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +50000 |
| Donald Young | +50000 |
| Jordan Thompson | +50000 |
| Fernando Verdasco | +50000 |
| Martin Klizan | +75000 |
| Ryan Harrison | +100000 |
| Milos Raonic | N/A |
Even tennis fans who don’t root for Federer have to respect his resurgence this year. A Federer/Nadal final would be a great way to cap off 2017 which has looked identical to both 2006 and 2007 in terms of major winners. In fact, BetOnline even offered a prop bet before the year started on number of majors won for Federer, Nadal and Djokovic:
Roger Federer is the +150 favorite to win the US Open. Before the year, he was listed at +20000 to win exactly 3 majors in 2017. pic.twitter.com/0X49sRtHU8
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) August 21, 2017
As you can see, the market was offering 200/1 odds on Federer to win 3 majors. But even more interesting were the -1200 odds on him NOT winning a single major. The market also expected Nadal to go winless this year (-800 odds), and weren’t envisioning Djokovic to go winless (+450 odds).
Here were Federer’s odds to win each major this year:
Australian Open: +2000 (WON)
French Open: +1400 (withdrew prior to tournament)
Wimbledon: +235 (WON)
US Open: +150 (???)
It’s also been a strange year on the women’s side with Serena Williams missing the bulk of the year due to pregnancy, Petra Kvitova’s comeback from injury, and Victoria Azarenka’s injury/personal issues. Garbine Muguruza (+500) and Karolina Pliskova (+700) are the favorites, but it’s a wide-open Women’s US Open field:
| Player | August 21 Odds |
|---|---|
| Garbine Muguruza | +500 |
| Karolina Pliskova | +700 |
| Elina Svitolina | +900 |
| Simona Halep | +900 |
| Johanna Konta | +1100 |
| Angelique Kerber | +1200 |
| Maria Sharapova | +1600 |
| Madison Keys | +1600 |
| Petra Kvitova | +1800 |
| Venus Williams | +1800 |
| Caroline Wozniacki | +2000 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | +2200 |
| Coco Vandeweghe | +2200 |
| Sloane Stephens | +4000 |
| Agnieszka Radwanska | +5000 |
| Svetlana Kuznetsova | +5000 |
| Dominika Cibulkova | +6600 |
| Belinda Bencic | +6600 |
| Kristina Mladenovic | +6600 |
| Lucie Safarova | +6600 |
| Eugenie Bouchard | +8000 |
| Timea Bacsinszky | +8000 |
| Daria Kasatkina | +10000 |
| Caroline Garcia | +10000 |
| Naomi Osaka | +10000 |
| Ekaterina Makarova | +10000 |
| Ashleigh Barty | +10000 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | +10000 |
| Ana Konjuh | +12500 |
| Barbora Strycova | +12500 |
| Samantha Stosur | +15000 |
| Laura Siegemund | +15000 |
| Elena Vesnina | +15000 |
| Kiki Bertens | +15000 |
| Anastasija Sevastova | +15000 |
| Carla Suarez Navarro | +17500 |
| Roberta Vinci | +20000 |
| Sabine Lisicki | +20000 |
| Sara Errani | +20000 |
| Irina-Camelia Begu | +20000 |
| Camila Giorgi | +25000 |
| Heather Watson | +30000 |
| Timea Babos | +30000 |
| Shuai Zhang | +40000 |
| Victoria Azarenka | N/A |
The US Open begins August 28th and will conclude on September 10th. All Premium and Pro members can track the odds for every match.
Are you hoping for a Federer/Nadal final on the men’s side, or are you backing a longshot to win it?
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